那个我的个人主页 - 老虎社区

那个我

那个我

个人简介：存一寸光阴，换一个世纪！

IP属地：云南

984关注

536粉丝

5主题

0勋章

2020-01-31

$中国医疗集团(08225)$病毒都不怕的，胆大的上[龇牙][龇牙][龇牙]

2020-03-04

$维珍银河(SPCE)$$苹果(AAPL)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$$蔚来(NIO)$《阿甘正传》1994年7月上影，片中提到过Apple，股价0.88－1.38块。《星际探索》2019年12月中国上影，片中台词：维珍航空6092航班，此时股价7块。能不能这样思考：当年看到阿甘时买点，如果错过了苹果，或者今天看到星际时买点，大家觉得怎么样？

2017-10-28

8.8有人敢上🚗吗……

$迅雷(XNET)$涨得太疯狂了，8.88还有看多的吗？

8.8有人敢上🚗吗……

2020-08-21

$苹果(AAPL)$$微软(MSFT)$$亚马逊(AMZN)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$大家聊聊下一只破2万亿的公司会是哪一家？

2020-02-04

$特斯拉(TSLA)$如果在一个月它直下400-，不知道大家会是怎么操作？

2020-08-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$$蔚来(NIO)$特斯拉破2000，月底1拆5，股价变为400，两个月后股价又涨到2000，哈哈哈😄我是不是想多了[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]

2020-01-21

$比亚迪(002594)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$$蔚来(NIO)$$京沪高铁(601816)$$苹果(AAPL)$$谷歌(GOOG)$$亚马逊(AMZN)$$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$$海底捞(06862)$$九毛九(09922)$希望都能实现[龇牙][龇牙][龇牙]

2020-07-16

$阿斯顿马丁(AML.UK)$增发好吗？

2019-05-04

$云集(YJ)$ $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 大家别生气发火了……我是相信老虎支持老🐯的（虽然我没打$云集(YJ)$ ）[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]，我看侍这件事大家骂声一片是因为云集开盘大涨了，所以………你们懂的！但是就在看大家发🔥的时候，我小搞了一下云集也小赚了明天的米线🍜钱[得意][得意][得意]

2021-01-07

$火币科技(01611)$会不会冲到20[惊吓] [惊吓] [惊吓]

2020-01-31

$阿斯顿马丁(AML.UK)$$蔚来(NIO)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$$比亚迪股份(01211)$$长安汽车(000625)$$微软(MSFT)$$亚马逊(AMZN)$$Facebook(FB)$$福特汽车(F)$$苹果(AAPL)$$英特尔(INTC)$$英伟达(NVDA)$$AMD(AMD)$$通用汽车(GM)$加拿大富豪收购20%，上不上🚗大家自己决定[得意][得意][得意]

2020-12-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$$苹果(AAPL)$$蔚来(NIO)$还有8000多，怎么就“危险⚠️”了[捂脸] [捂脸] [捂脸] 老虎🐯你给玩得成@话题虎

2020-05-12

$诺瓦瓦克斯医药(NVAX)$血洗……

2018-06-19

要不要下车了……？

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 离历史高点389.61只差6.4%………会不会上去，还是调头直下300………！

要不要下车了……？

2017-11-30

快下来，我在搞你一下………

$特斯拉(TSLA)$来回搞，有没有人一起……

快下来，我在搞你一下………

2020-01-30

$中国医疗集团(08225)$$平安好医生(01833)$$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$$特斯拉(TSLA)$$阿里健康(00241)$能恢复生产，这股才刚开始疯………

2017-06-22

要不要空一下？

$Advanced Micro Devices Inc.(AMD)$一天涨这么多，14后要不要空他一下？

要不要空一下？

2020-01-22

$波音(BA)$我就说想到了雷曼！

2017-07-06

330没等来，332还是上车了……

$特斯拉(TSLA)$凭着它是信仰股，管他高盛说不说，上了🚗再说。谁知道小马能整出些什么疯狂的事情来。火箭都被发射升空………又收回来了………^_^

330没等来，332还是上车了……

2021-01-11

$特斯拉(TSLA)$有850要上🚗的吗？[龇牙] [龇牙] [龇牙]

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17:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月23日，AMC院线盘前跌超6%，此前宣布1.1亿美元新融资方案并提议反向拆股。</p><p>AMC院线宣布了一项新的1.1亿美元融资提案和一项需要股东批准的反向拆股提案。AMC提议按1比10的比例对AMC普通股进行反向拆股，公司要求召开特别股东会议，批准反向拆股，并将优先股单位APE转换成AMC普通股。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/28a8e1c8aea9b2bb02059f46f62cdf76\" tg-width=\"534\" tg-height=\"506\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/765eea7b8efcd21c54c30bb5f35bff0d","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161741167","content_text":"12月23日，AMC院线盘前跌超6%，此前宣布1.1亿美元新融资方案并提议反向拆股。AMC院线宣布了一项新的1.1亿美元融资提案和一项需要股东批准的反向拆股提案。AMC提议按1比10的比例对AMC普通股进行反向拆股，公司要求召开特别股东会议，批准反向拆股，并将优先股单位APE转换成AMC普通股。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":664649432,"gmtCreate":1668012556426,"gmtModify":1668012557744,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">$亚朵(ATAT)$&nbsp;</a>酒店不错👍样样好！可股票未必了[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;开盘小炒几天就赶紧跑[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ATAT\">$亚朵(ATAT)$&nbsp;</a>酒店不错👍样样好！可股票未必了[得意]&nbsp;[得意]&nbsp;开盘小炒几天就赶紧跑[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"$亚朵(ATAT)$ 酒店不错👍样样好！可股票未必了[得意] [得意] 开盘小炒几天就赶紧跑[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/664649432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618293612,"gmtCreate":1651042082441,"gmtModify":1651042082441,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"大白天的，你做什么梦[笑哭]&nbsp;特斯拉怎么可能短期一下子跌到700。","listText":"大白天的，你做什么梦[笑哭]&nbsp;特斯拉怎么可能短期一下子跌到700。","text":"大白天的，你做什么梦[笑哭] 特斯拉怎么可能短期一下子跌到700。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618293612","repostId":"2230433051","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2230433051","pubTimestamp":1651025248,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2230433051?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-04-27 10:07","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2230433051","media":"老虎锐评","summary":"即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><b>摘要：可以简单认为，只要<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></blockquote><p>昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？</p><p>特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>融资模式</p></td><td><p>融资方</p></td><td><p>融资金额</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-定期贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>、巴克莱、三菱日联、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0HB5.UK\">法国巴黎银行</a>、瑞穗、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/0J6Y.UK\">法国兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$65亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-周转信贷</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601166\">兴业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$5亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-无抵押过桥贷款</p></td><td><p>摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行</p></td><td><p>$30亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>债务-保证金贷款</p><p>均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保</p></td><td><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">花旗</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DB\">德意志银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CM\">加拿大帝国商业银行</a></p></td><td><p>$125亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>资金承诺</p></td><td><p>马斯克</p></td><td><p>$210亿</p></td></tr><tr><td><p><b>总融资额</b></p></td><td><p><b>$465亿</b></p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？</p><p>下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>马斯克持有股票</p></td><td><p>马斯克已经质押股票</p></td><td><p>质押比率</p></td><td><p>尚未质押股票</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2020</p></td><td><p>170,492,985</p></td><td><p>88,331,125</p></td><td><p>51.81%</p></td><td><p>82,161,860</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2019</p></td><td><p>34,085,560</p></td><td><p>18,466,225</p></td><td><p>54.18%</p></td><td><p>15,619,335</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2018</p></td><td><p>33,824,680</p></td><td><p>13,394,056</p></td><td><p>39.60%</p></td><td><p>20,430,624</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2017</p></td><td><p>33,632,421</p></td><td><p>13,774,897</p></td><td><p>40.96%</p></td><td><p>19,857,524</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2016</p></td><td><p>33,503,668</p></td><td><p>11,450,723</p></td><td><p>34.18%</p></td><td><p>22,052,945</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2015</p></td><td><p>28,371,342</p></td><td><p>9,420,113</p></td><td><p>33.20%</p></td><td><p>18,951,229</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2014</p></td><td><p>28,288,697</p></td><td><p>7,424,899</p></td><td><p>26.25%</p></td><td><p>20,863,798</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2013</p></td><td><p>28,288,622</p></td><td><p>10,024,899</p></td><td><p>35.44%</p></td><td><p>18,263,723</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2012</p></td><td><p>27,203,237</p></td><td><p>9,470,000</p></td><td><p>34.81%</p></td><td><p>17,733,237</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2011</p></td><td><p>27,131,565</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>16.59%</p></td><td><p>22,631,565</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>2010</p></td><td><p>25,699,596</p></td><td><p>4,500,000</p></td><td><p>17.51%</p></td><td><p>21,199,596</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。</p><p>去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，<b>那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票</b>，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>行使期权数</p></td><td><p>22,762,050</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>期权价格</p></td><td><p>6.24</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>卖股数</p></td><td><p>15,602,784</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>总共套现金额</p></td><td><p>$16,571,765,725</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>共出售天数</p></td><td><p>15天</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p>刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。</p><p><table><tbody><tr><td><p>特斯拉股价</p></td><td><p>完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$1,000</p></td><td><p>85%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$900</p></td><td><p>89%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$800</p></td><td><p>94%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>$700</p></td><td><p>100%</p></td></tr></tbody></table></p><p><b>可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。</b></p><p>所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。<b>最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。</b></p><p>谁说有钱就可以任性的？</p><p>相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？</p><p>自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc3340d9350b9429ab5dce6a153e5de9\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。</p><p>上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。</p><p>也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。</p><p>投资者担心，<b>如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。</b></p><p><b>甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。</b></p><p>华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。</p><p>此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。</p><p>“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”<b>除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。</b>”</p><p>周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起</p><p>对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。</p><p>但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。</p><p>据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。</p><p>如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。</p><p>但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。</p><p>据华尔街见闻此前文章，<b>假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。</b></p><p>英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1635821181494","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉暴跌，市场在担心什么？买下推特，马斯克可能破产？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-27 10:07 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw><strong>老虎锐评</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4511":"特斯拉概念","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FddZa9LrcmoHIjLqqgKHpw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2230433051","content_text":"摘要：可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。昨天推特董事会同意了马斯克的收购要约，推特大涨逼近收购价$54.20。但是随着今天特斯拉股价大跌，貌似铁板钉钉的被收购的推特股价也大跌4%，这后面的逻辑是什么？特斯拉今天股价放量大跌，和上次马斯克套现时候的股价表现极其相似。特斯拉全天成交金额超过$400亿，估计晚些时候SEC文件会显示马斯克今天已经开卖股票，开始筹措需要收购推特的资金。根据上周四马斯克给SEC递交的文件，这次收购共需资金$465亿，其中马斯克自筹资金$210亿，银行资金$255亿，下表是此次收购资金的结构。融资模式融资方融资金额债务-定期贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$65亿债务-周转信贷摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$5亿债务-抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-无抵押过桥贷款摩根斯坦利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行$30亿债务-保证金贷款均以马斯克对特斯拉股票的所有权为担保摩根士丹利、美国银行、巴克莱、三菱日联、法国巴黎银行、瑞穗、法国兴业银行、瑞士信贷、花旗、德意志银行、加拿大皇家银行、加拿大帝国商业银行$125亿资金承诺马斯克$210亿总融资额$465亿在银行的$255亿资金中，最大头$125亿来自于马斯克的特斯拉股票质押的贷款资金。银行表示最多提供股票价值的20%作为贷款，也就是说，$125亿的资金需要马斯克质押价值$625亿的股票。马斯克有这么多股票吗？下表是我们根据特斯拉的年报数据汇总的马斯克股票质押的情况。由于最新的2021年数据并没有出来，所以我们只有截至2020年年底马斯克股票质押的情况。马斯克持有股票马斯克已经质押股票质押比率尚未质押股票2020170,492,98588,331,12551.81%82,161,860201934,085,56018,466,22554.18%15,619,335201833,824,68013,394,05639.60%20,430,624201733,632,42113,774,89740.96%19,857,524201633,503,66811,450,72334.18%22,052,945201528,371,3429,420,11333.20%18,951,229201428,288,6977,424,89926.25%20,863,798201328,288,62210,024,89935.44%18,263,723201227,203,2379,470,00034.81%17,733,237201127,131,5654,500,00016.59%22,631,565201025,699,5964,500,00017.51%21,199,596可以看到，虽然是首富，马斯克超过50%的股票都已经质押。这些质押取得的资金，大部分都应该去了烧钱的SpaceX和Boring公司“上天入地“。2020年结束后，马斯克只有8,200万股票没有质押。去年马斯克期权行权加上卖出股份套现，这一进一出马斯克又多了约710万股。假设2021年马斯克没有质押更多的股份，那么马斯克手上约有8,900万股可以质押的股票，这是最优的情况。如果马斯克去年又质押了股票，那么数量会更少。下表是马斯克去年套现情况。行使期权数22,762,050期权价格6.24卖股数15,602,784总共套现金额$16,571,765,725共出售天数15天刚才说了，银行对马斯克的股票质押是20%。如果特斯拉股价在$1,000，那么马斯克质押股票是够的，但如果特斯拉跌到$600，那么马斯克就算质押所有股票，那么银行给的钱也不够了。下表是特斯拉股价和质押率的sensitivity分析，基于的假设是马斯克已经质押股票88,331,125股，没有质押股票89,321,126股。特斯拉股价完成推特收购后马斯克所有股票的质押率$1,00085%$90089%$80094%$700100%可以简单认为，只要特斯拉股价跌到$700，马斯克收购推特的钱就不够了。即使股价跌到$800，马斯克的质押率也会高达94%。所以马斯克现在就陷入了一个很尴尬的局面。一方面为了把自筹资金$210亿凑齐，他必须要卖股票，但卖股票就会压低股价，今天已经压到了$900之下；另一方面为了让银行给他足够的资金，他又必须要把股价维持在高位，今天收盘价低于了$900他的股票质押率会高达90%。最难受的，是如果收购推特以后又不套现，那么马斯克将永远保持非常高的特斯拉股票质押率，这对他个人的财务以及特斯拉的股价，都是非常危险的事情。谁说有钱就可以任性的？相关阅读：特斯拉一天市值蒸发超千亿美元，市场在担心什么？自马斯克四月初披露持有Twitter股权以来，特斯拉股票已累计跌去23%。显而易见，马斯克收购Twitter在投资者中造成了恐慌。上周四，马斯克向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交的文件详细列出了从摩根士丹利和其他金融机构获得的255亿美元债务融资，包括用他在特斯拉的股权支持的保证金贷款。此外，马斯克本人还将提供210亿美元的股权融资。也就是说，马斯克已经获得465亿美元的资金来收购推特公司，但其中超过三分之二的资金或是由他自掏腰包，或是拿他的特斯拉股票作抵押。投资者担心，如果马斯克因为收购Twitter而分心，甚至可能通过出售特斯拉股票来资助这笔交易，将会影响到特斯拉的正常运营。甚至有网友在Twitter上戏称如今的特斯拉仿佛已经被马斯克抛弃。华尔街知名投行分析师Daniel Ives表示，这些担忧“在名义上引发了一场熊节”。此外，随着通胀高烧不退，美联储准备启动一系列大幅加息，全球股市普遍下挫，投资者纷纷逃离高增长企业。“特斯拉今天将面临三个打击，”美国国家证券公司(National Securities Corp.)首席市场策略师Arthur Hogan说，”除了担心出售（特斯拉股票）和成长性股票抛售加剧，特斯拉股票也反映出一些（投资者）担心马斯克分心过度而面临新的挑战。”周二这样的日子 马斯克再也承受不起对马斯克而言，这种波动并不新鲜。在过去两年中，特斯拉的股价偶尔会出现大幅下跌，但随后会被更大的涨幅所抵消。但这一次的暴跌给马斯克带来巨大风险。据彭博社，为了达成这笔交易，马斯克同意向银行融资130亿美元，利用个人所持特斯拉的部分股份获得125亿美元的融资承诺，另外210亿美元通过抵押股权获得。如果根据特斯拉周一的收盘价，足以保证马斯克支付保证金贷款，而且他仍然拥有价值约216亿美元的未抵押股票，税后几乎足够为交易的现金部分提供资金。但鉴于周二特斯拉股票跌超12%，这种回旋余地已经大大缩水。虽然马斯克仍然有足够的资金获得保证金贷款，但以目前的价格，他将只剩下114亿美元的未质押股票。据华尔街见闻此前文章，假如特斯拉股价跌至740美元下方，较周二收盘再跌去16%，马斯克就不够满足125亿美元融资的要求了。英国投资平台AJ Bell的投资总监Russ Mould说：“马斯克用特斯拉的股票作抵押是在冒很大的风险。”“如果这家电动汽车制造商的股价意外暴跌，可能会造成很多不安。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2052,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613323931,"gmtCreate":1649728412029,"gmtModify":1649728412029,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a>阿里早就不健康了[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00241\">$阿里健康(00241)$</a>阿里早就不健康了[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;","text":"$阿里健康(00241)$阿里早就不健康了[笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613323931","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634367632,"gmtCreate":1647356387110,"gmtModify":1647356387110,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"跌得好[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;直接破100吧……深埋了段永平，也让小散们能买得起一手意思意思[龇牙]&nbsp;[龇牙]&nbsp;[龇牙]&nbsp;","listText":"跌得好[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;[笑哭]&nbsp;直接破100吧……深埋了段永平，也让小散们能买得起一手意思意思[龇牙]&nbsp;[龇牙]&nbsp;[龇牙]&nbsp;","text":"跌得好[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] 直接破100吧……深埋了段永平，也让小散们能买得起一手意思意思[龇牙] [龇牙] [龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/634367632","repostId":"1128591179","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1128591179","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"关注中国基金报，即时获取深度理财资讯","home_visible":1,"media_name":"中国基金报","id":"1045836040","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1124f95a0404a8e98c2342c3c9c0de5"},"pubTimestamp":1647333079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128591179?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-15 16:31","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"腾讯跌破300港元！段永平：不等了，抄底！","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128591179","media":"中国基金报","summary":"今天，港股又崩了，腾讯更是首当其冲，一度跌破300港元关口。然而，暴跌之下，有“中国巴菲特”之称的段永平，再度出手。卖$苹果$、卖$伯克希尔$段永平“抄底”腾讯暴跌之下，段永平依旧看好腾讯，甚至，出手“疯狂”抄底。随后，他更是在评论区晒出自己的下单记录，豪掷500多万美元，继去年8月“抄底”腾讯之后，段永平再度抄底。到2018年10月，段永平则出手买腾讯了。彼时，腾讯刚从770港元的高点一路跌到400多港元。","content":"<div>\n<p>今天，港股又崩了，腾讯更是首当其冲，一度跌破300港元关口。不少投资者心态肯定也崩了。要知道，这距离去年的高点，已经跌去了超60%。然而，暴跌之下，有“中国巴菲特”之称的段永平，再度出手。卖苹果、卖伯克希尔段永平“抄底”腾讯暴跌之下，段永平依旧看好腾讯，甚至，出手“疯狂”抄底。3月14午间，段永平接连更新两条动态，称“这个礼拜五有一批145的苹果的put到期，很久以前卖的。这笔钱出来可以考虑放一半...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>腾讯跌破300港元！段永平：不等了，抄底！</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯跌破300港元！段永平：不等了，抄底！\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n2022-03-15 16:31 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>中国基金报</strong>\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>今天，港股又崩了，腾讯更是首当其冲，一度跌破300港元关口。不少投资者心态肯定也崩了。要知道，这距离去年的高点，已经跌去了超60%。然而，暴跌之下，有“中国巴菲特”之称的段永平，再度出手。卖苹果、卖伯克希尔段永平“抄底”腾讯暴跌之下，段永平依旧看好腾讯，甚至，出手“疯狂”抄底。3月14午间，段永平接连更新两条动态，称“这个礼拜五有一批145的苹果的put到期，很久以前卖的。这笔钱出来可以考虑放一半...</p>\n\n<a href=\"\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7799eeb7043b8caaf3d109c3b13109e","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK1591":"就地过年概念","BK4176":"多领域控股","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK1608":"元宇宙概念","BK1502":"双十一","BK1517":"云办公","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","BK1531":"手游股","BK1589":"北水核心资产","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","TCEHY":"腾讯控股ADR","BK4566":"资本集团","BK1526":"科网股","00700":"腾讯控股","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","BK1586":"云计算"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128591179","content_text":"今天，港股又崩了，腾讯更是首当其冲，一度跌破300港元关口。不少投资者心态肯定也崩了。要知道，这距离去年的高点，已经跌去了超60%。然而，暴跌之下，有“中国巴菲特”之称的段永平，再度出手。卖苹果、卖伯克希尔段永平“抄底”腾讯暴跌之下，段永平依旧看好腾讯，甚至，出手“疯狂”抄底。3月14午间，段永平接连更新两条动态，称“这个礼拜五有一批145的苹果的put到期，很久以前卖的。这笔钱出来可以考虑放一半在腾讯上。”3月15日早，段永平再发动态称，“明天准备拿BRKB（伯克希尔）换点，不等了。”值得注意的是，在腾讯轮番暴跌之时，伯克希尔刚创出新高，股价一度超过50万美元一股。3月8日时，他曾表示，计划腾讯每跌10%，就加一次仓。而在2月28日时他已经发声：“腾讯低过我上次买的价钱了，那明天再买点。”随后，他更是在评论区晒出自己的下单记录，豪掷500多万美元，继去年8月“抄底”腾讯之后，段永平再度抄底。那段永平为什么会买入腾讯呢？此前，段永平在与网友交流时，坦陈，“我可以说说我一般是怎么判断的。一般来讲，当我买一只股票时，一定会有个买的理由，同时也要看到负面的东西。当买的理由消失了或重要的负面东西增加到我不能接受的时候，我就会离场。太贵了有时会成为离场的理由⋯”。如今，他再次补充，看公司应该包括所有的一切及其他了。观察超8年去年8月开始“抄底”腾讯资料显示，段永平的雪球账号有近60万粉丝。简介中他表示：\"买股票就是买公司。我喜欢的公司我会说的，不用问。\"值得注意的是，段永平对腾讯这么频繁的抄底，并不常见。据网友整理，段永平首次在雪球上讨论腾讯，是在2010年12月，当时有网友提问：貌似大道好像对小企鹅不感冒啊？段永平回复称，“我一直觉得腾讯是不错的公司啊，就是不小心错过了不错的价钱。”到2018年10月，段永平则出手买腾讯了。当时有网友指出，估摸着大道要出手腾讯了。段永平则回复：最近确实已经投了一些了，但比例还很小。用苹果换似乎有点不舍得，我似乎更懂苹果些。要再仔细想想。而从数据来看，当年腾讯股价罕见大跌超40%，股价从475港元暴跌之最低251港元。而第二波大幅买入腾讯，始于去年8月。彼时，腾讯刚从770港元的高点一路跌到400多港元。2021年8月4日，段永平在其雪球账号“大道无形我有型”中写道，“今天买了点腾讯控股，再跌再多买些。”随后，8月18日，段永平再度买入腾讯。他补充分析：商业模式好的公司，好的价钱总是有吸引力的。用10年以上的眼光看问题会让问题简单很多。段永平是谁？\"小霸王\"、\"步步高\"创始人投丁磊赚超100倍，带26岁的黄铮和巴菲特吃饭段永平是谁？记者此前采访过多个明星基金经理，不少都表示段永平是其欣赏的投资人，他也被认为是中国最早、最著名的价值投资者，甚至被誉为“中国巴菲特”。段永平曾以创立\"小霸王\"和\"步步高\"两个知名品牌闻名全国。2001年，为了家庭和自己的爱情，段永平退居幕后并移民美国。刚到美国没多久对自己该干什么一片茫然的段永平开始研究股票投资。在当年互联网股灾中成功抄底网易，两年时间就收获了近100的回报。2006年，一位匿名为\"快即是慢\"的玩家以62.01万美元的价格成功拍下于巴菲特共餐的机会，这位玩家就是段永平。值得一提的是，当年在与巴菲特共进午餐时，段永平带着一个80后的年轻人，现在是拼多多创始人黄铮。当年黄铮刚26岁，这也是黄峥初涉商业圈的启蒙经历。2006年黄峥还在谷歌工作，段永平给他打了一个电话邀请他吃午饭，黄峥也立刻答应了。到了吃饭地点，他备受惊吓，因为他看到了巴菲特。黄峥在采访中说过，这次午餐让他意识到，简单和常识的重要性。因此，拼多多4年时间就做到了电商行业“小巨头”的位置，业内认为主要原因还是在于“有贵人相助”，段永平让他赢在了起跑线上。如今，回顾和巴菲特的午餐，段永平表示：和巴菲特聊一聊，给了我非常大的帮助，至少给我带来了几千倍午饭的价值。以前我对商业模式是没有那么重视的，只是众多考虑之一。认识老巴以后，我买的苹果，茅台，包括腾讯，都有老巴的影响在里面，尤其是一直拿着这点，和老巴绝对密不可分哈。另外，从那以后，市场对我的影响逐年下降到几乎没有。如果能够从来的话，那我肯定会更早地去赢取那个机会。2011年，段永平抄底苹果，当时苹果市值3千亿美元，如今市值超2万亿美元。他表示，苹果最厉害的是生态系统，苹果每次大跌的时候我都会加码，每一次！他曾经分享了一个故事，很久以前，我有个朋友卖了一万多股苹果买了一套房子（分股前，已经赚了很多）。我当时说，最好不要这样想，不然你会觉得房子很贵的。后来他告诉我，当时没明白，后来发现房子确实很贵。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":636621240,"gmtCreate":1645803054712,"gmtModify":1645803054712,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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）[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]，我看侍这件事大家骂声一片是因为云集开盘大涨了，所以………你们懂的！但是就在看大家发🔥的时候，我小搞了一下云集也小赚了明天的米线🍜钱[得意][得意][得意]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ea55154541afa2b79d119bfb3ddeede"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/903844987","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":759,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3470871382582359","authorId":"3470871382582359","name":"T20211213771","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"这个交易明细点哪里看的，我怎么找不到。","text":"这个交易明细点哪里看的，我怎么找不到。","html":"这个交易明细点哪里看的，我怎么找不到。"}],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":338755295,"gmtCreate":1609982796517,"gmtModify":1703741763196,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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[惊吓]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338755295","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3566703868497976","authorId":"3566703868497976","name":"精研","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3906e6f6452c27550772171e3141372b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"看多400，妥妥的！","text":"看多400，妥妥的！","html":"看多400，妥妥的！"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":912746058,"gmtCreate":1580472633574,"gmtModify":1704341656030,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AML.UK\">$阿斯顿马丁(AML.UK)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a><a 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老虎🐯你给玩得成@话题虎","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/860cc5fdd10bd48899cd68094bc09741","width":"828","height":"348"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/339857127","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3476179108328286","authorId":"3476179108328286","name":"xway","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/08ad549f7dcec5e4bb521ff47aec71e0","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"试过只有几十 仍然安稳度日","text":"试过只有几十 仍然安稳度日","html":"试过只有几十 仍然安稳度日"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":950169661,"gmtCreate":1589291554653,"gmtModify":1704179757314,"author":{"id":"3445831548099450","authorId":"3445831548099450","name":"那个我","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/571cecff25a322e56f7a962e96512978","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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