“木头姐”发声：称油价见顶将会面临下跌！_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

“木头姐”发声：称油价见顶将会面临下跌！

华尔街见闻2021-10-02

在布伦特原油升至2018年10月以来最高点后，受到结构性需求影响，多家机构继续看多油价未来的走高趋势，摩根大通将布伦特原油价格目标从每桶78美元上调至84美元；而高盛则上调对布伦特原油年底预测价格至90美元/桶。木头姐则在推特上发声，称当前的原油市场就如 1900 年代初鲸油到达顶峰后遭遇衰弱一样，并预测它将遭遇同样的命运。 “今年油价上涨更多是供大于求的结果。 20世纪之交，鲸油也面临...

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Youn7276
·2021-10-04
阅
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2
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Sen001
·2021-10-03
[财迷]
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6
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收起
- Sen001:
  [财迷]
  2021-10-03
  回复
  举报
- 十八顺:
  能准吗 [笑哭]
  2021-10-03
  回复
  举报
龙腾虎跃168
·2021-10-02
哦
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5
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Jason1205
·2021-10-02
拿石油和鲸鱼油比？
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3
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Fattkhong
·2021-10-02
那么快？
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3
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- Fattkhong:
  [流泪]
  2021-10-02
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云里梦里飞
·2021-10-02
不到一百美元吗？
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5
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- LawrenceCW:
  666
  2021-10-02
  回复
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- Youn7276:
  好
  2021-10-04
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磐石533
·2021-10-02
冲高才会回落
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2
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- jiann85:
  [微笑]
  2021-10-02
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- 云里梦里飞:
  [开心] [难过]
  2021-10-02
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蚊香策士
·2021-10-02
冬天至，能源起！
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3
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- Diaschy:
  👌
  2021-10-02
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SiewMin
·2021-10-02
可以帮我点赞吗，谢谢你们
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年代初鲸油到达顶峰后遭遇衰弱一样，并预测它将遭遇同样的命运。\n\n\n “今年油价上涨更多是供大于求的结果。 20世纪之交，鲸油也面临...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641640\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SCO","symbol_name":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641640","article_id":"2172663979","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://static.tigerbbs.com/78e4944908df81bfad358b07ba0dc819"],"rights":{"source":"wallstreetcn_api","url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3641640","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2172663979","pubTimestamp":1633135378,"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"wallstreetcn_api","name":"华尔街见闻"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"“木头姐”则在推特上发声，称当前的原油市场就如 1900 年代初鲸油到达顶峰后遭遇衰弱一样，并预测它将遭遇同样的命运。“基于在我们对电动汽车销量的预测，@ARKInvest 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年发现石油和后来的电力，它开始走向衰落，鲸油贸易再也没有恢复，到 20 世纪初完全结束。\n研究咨询公司 Thunder Said Energy 的这张图表显示了该交易的兴衰：\n\n虽然许多分析师和经济学家将油价上涨视为需求增加的函数，但“木头姐”则认为这是由于供应中断所致。ARK预计石油价格会像 1900 年代初鲸油的下跌一样，当时鲸油价格就是随着其他燃料来源的替代而大幅贬值。\nARK曾预测，电动汽车销量将从 2020 年的约 220 万辆增长约 20 倍，到 2025 年达到 4000 万辆。“木头姐”看好的电动汽车和电池相关公司都不以原油作为能源，即使在近期猛抛特斯拉超过34万股（价值约2.7亿美元）这顿操作之后，特斯拉仍是“木头姐”的单一最大持仓，在其三只ETF中的占比均超过10%。\n据美国能源信息署的数据，全球石油需求在 2019 年达到每天 1.01 亿桶 (mbd) 的峰值，在 2020 年冠状病毒期间降至 92 mbd，此后在 2021 年反弹至 97 mbd。木头姐表示，“基于在我们对电动汽车销量的预测，@ARKInvest 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